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Price a position against the live round before you commit: expected return, break-even, and what changes the answer.

Expected outcome, one round

Reading live round

COAL has no valid pool price yet, so mined COAL cannot be valued. Everything below prices the USDC side of the round only.

Expected profit
Round cost
$25.00
Expected return
Expected ROI
Break-even COAL price
$114.4444
Break-even round pot
$142.05

Your assumptions

USDC
5 / 25

20% chance one of your tiles is the winning seam

Tile crowding

Model the least crowded tiles. Average stake on those tiles: 0.00 USDC.

Exit strategy

What you do with mined COAL changes the answer. All three are priced side by side.

Supporting calculations

Expected winner-pool return
$4.4000
Expected COAL after 10% fee
0.18000 COAL
COAL value
Needs a COAL price
Jackpot expected value
$0.000000
Expected total return
Needs a COAL price

Auto budget

The same position repeated across several rounds, with the keeper reserve Auto mode sets aside.

Per round
25USDC
Wagers across 3 rounds
75USDC
Total with keeper reserve
75.03USDC

Includes 0.03 USDC reserve

How this is estimated

Expected value uses the current tile stakes, round pot, rollover, Jackpot, COAL emission and the valid pool price. Other miners can commit before the window closes, the market price can move, and a permanent lock is not redeemable. These are live estimates, not guaranteed returns.